I don't think the future battle lines are where people think they are. We project 100 years of #modernity, based in our brief 6,000 years of civilization, on how we imagine the future. All of the interests, values, and even roles, all of this will be washed away. #TheGreatSimplification #Ænima
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I'm always threatening one of these days I'll write a book called "The world's last modern country".
-- Dougald Hine
(On "The Great Simplification" 12 Feb 2025)
“The 7 Fundamental Drivers of Overshoot” by Nate Hagens
How growing consumption is pushing Earth beyond its carrying capacity
This is a refinement of a previous “Frankly” episode, in the form of an essay. I think it’s very useful to learn concepts such as the carbon pulse, overshoot and carrying capacity, the economic superorganism, the effect of addiction to dopamine (in a brain designed and fine-tuned for an environment very different than our current one in cities, and western culture)… As Nate says: there is no solution because there is no problem; instead, we face a predicament with maybe different outcomes.
Why Contemplation & Wonder are essential for the Future of Humanity
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F838KOrQrRg
#psychiatry #philosophy #wisdom #power #complexity #cosmos #contemplation #wonder #thegreatsimplification #iainmcgilchrist #natehagens
Instead of Netflix, we like watching together enlightening videos like this one:
"Why Contemplation & Wonder Are Essential for the Future of Humanity with Iain McGilchrist" | TGS 165
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F838KOrQrRg
(well, we do watch simpler things such as films and series too, of course!)
#TheGreatSimplification #NateHagens #IanMcGilchrist
"Why Contemplation & Wonder Are Essential for the Future of Humanity with Iain McGilchrist" | TGS 165
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F838KOrQrRg
(well, we do watch simpler things such as films and series too, of course!)
#TheGreatSimplification #NateHagens #IanMcGilchrist
daily reminder that nate hagens is a #narcissists #traitor to the #environmental #movement, a #mansplainer, a #russianasset who invites #vatniks, #climatedeniers, #antivaxxers and #antiscience #imposters and #grifters to his podcast and does't give a shit about the #women who told him not to do that. he's now on #bluesky, so have fun with that one @ketanjoshi.co
#natehagens #TGS #thegreatsimplification more like #thegreatinsanity
“Rapid-Fire Answers to the Biggest Climate Questions with Stefan Rahmstorf” | TGS 141
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UgF2TwJ5d6w
(Conversation recorded on July 30th, 2024) The science surrounding our planet’s dynamic and complex climate can be difficult to understand, and perhaps even more challenging to decipher what the actual realities and trajectories are among so much media coverage. Yet the study of Earth’s systems has been ongoing for decades, with a majority of scientists reaching a consensus on the realities of human-driven global heating.
In this episode, ocean and climate physicist Stefan Rahmstorf joins Nate for an overview on the most common questions and misconceptions concerning the state of the climate, including the nuances of what our future planetary home might look like.
How can carbon dioxide – which makes up such a small percentage of the atmosphere – have such a large effect on the temperature of the whole planet? Why does warming have such huge ripple effects across the biosphere – from ocean currents and wind patterns to extreme weather and wildfires? What do projections for the future tell us about the survivability of some of Earth’s most populated regions – and how can communities and nations prepare and mitigate these challenges amid many other converging crises we face?
About Stefan Rahmstorf:
Stefan Rahmstorf is Co-Head of the Research Department on Earth System Analysis of the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) and Professor of Ocean Physics at the University of Potsdam. His research focuses on paleoclimate, ocean circulation, sea level, extreme weather events and Earth System modeling.
After working at the New Zealand Oceanographic Institute and the Institute of Marine Science in Kiel, Stefan Rahmstorf joined PIK in 1996. From 2004 to 2013 Stefan Rahmstorf advised the German government as a member of its Advisory Council on Global Change (WBGU). He is not only an outstanding and highly cited scientist but also a sought-after science communicator and speaker, winning the Climate Communication Prize of the American Geophysical Union in 2017.
More info on the episode: https://www.thegreatsimplification.com/episode/141-stefan-rahmstorf
Check this out: it's really, really good.
We. must. stop. promoting. narcissists. and. sycophants. if. we. are. to. save. humanity.
#TheGreatSimplification
Daniel Schmachtenberger: "Moving from Naive to Authentic Progress: A Vision for Betterment” | The Great Simplification
https://www.thegreatsimplification.com/episode/126-daniel-schmachtenberger-7
Well, I'd say ANY conversation with Daniel Schmachtenberger is worth your time. This one is 3 hour long. I still haven't finished it, but I already fully recommend it to you.
There are so many points which are vital for us to understand our current situation, how, as humans, we've arrived at this point, and how, as humans, we might get out of it. It's important that we become friends again with our human condition, and with what makes us really happy. It's not material possessions, of course, nor is progress (as we usually understand it) or power. Some people of course do think this is the way to happiness, but that's because in their lives they have probably never or seldom been in contact with something else, sadly. And, in our Western society, it is more and more difficult to have such meaningful experiences and contacts.
#DanielSchmachtenberger #NateHagens #TheGreatSimplification #Progress
https://www.thegreatsimplification.com/episode/126-daniel-schmachtenberger-7
Well, I'd say ANY conversation with Daniel Schmachtenberger is worth your time. This one is 3 hour long. I still haven't finished it, but I already fully recommend it to you.
There are so many points which are vital for us to understand our current situation, how, as humans, we've arrived at this point, and how, as humans, we might get out of it. It's important that we become friends again with our human condition, and with what makes us really happy. It's not material possessions, of course, nor is progress (as we usually understand it) or power. Some people of course do think this is the way to happiness, but that's because in their lives they have probably never or seldom been in contact with something else, sadly. And, in our Western society, it is more and more difficult to have such meaningful experiences and contacts.
#DanielSchmachtenberger #NateHagens #TheGreatSimplification #Progress
The Great SimplificationDaniel Schmachtenberger: "Moving from Naive to Authentic Progress: A Vision for Betterment” | The Great SimplificationEpisode 126
This #TheGreatSimplification episode is @NJHagens at his very best: from domination to partnership societies with Riane Eisler. Societal change, ultimately, will be to move away from our hierarchical possessive relationships toward a culture of care.
https://www.thegreatsimplification.com/episode/116-riane-eisler
The Great SimplificationRiane Eisler: "Domination and Partnership in Society" | The Great SimplificationEpisode 116
Fascinating conversation between Geoffrey West and Nate Hagens about the metabolism of our societies .
And I can't help but wonder how a world with more physicists than economists would be.
"2052. Story of an energy transition went awry" | by B
https://thehonestsorcerer.medium.com/2052-240cc6dddf50
#TheGreatSimplification #TheLongDescent #Collapse #HonestSorcerer
https://thehonestsorcerer.medium.com/2052-240cc6dddf50
#TheGreatSimplification #TheLongDescent #Collapse #HonestSorcerer
"The Net Zero Stragedy" | The Honest Sorcerer
https://thehonestsorcerer.medium.com/the-net-zero-stragedy-6b3cf4756ff2
"Human CO2 emissions will reach net zero. However, not because the EU Commission calls for a 90% cut in emissions by 2040, but because it will slowly become physically impossible to maintain modernity — with or without fossil fuels. Something, which under current policies will end up in an unmitigated disaster; rather sooner than later. Why is this ever desperate push for hydrogen, wind and solar then? What useful could be done instead?"
#PeakEverything #PeakCivilization #TheLongDescent #TheGreatSimplification #ClimateChange #CO2 #GHG #FossilFuels
https://thehonestsorcerer.medium.com/the-net-zero-stragedy-6b3cf4756ff2
"Human CO2 emissions will reach net zero. However, not because the EU Commission calls for a 90% cut in emissions by 2040, but because it will slowly become physically impossible to maintain modernity — with or without fossil fuels. Something, which under current policies will end up in an unmitigated disaster; rather sooner than later. Why is this ever desperate push for hydrogen, wind and solar then? What useful could be done instead?"
#PeakEverything #PeakCivilization #TheLongDescent #TheGreatSimplification #ClimateChange #CO2 #GHG #FossilFuels
I've just learned that Robert Ayres died this past October
Robert Ayres, known as "Bob” to his friends and colleagues, was a distinguished physicist and economist, whose pioneering research, unconventional thinking and passion for his work transformed our understanding of sustainability. Colleagues at IIASA remember him as the true innovator and scientist at heart. One of his most groundbreaking works was his research of industrial ecology or industrial metabolism — a concept he originated and pioneered within the scientific community, with his first publications on this subject dating back to the 1960s.
https://connect.iiasa.ac.at/news/1740123
The work I most associate with Ayres is of the role of energy in economics. Ayres strongly influenced and worked with Steve Keen, who subsequently developed a revised model of the Cobb-Douglas production function incorporating energy as well as the traditional capital and labour, which accounts for virtually all of the so-called "Solow residual". I'd learnt of Ayres death through an interview with Keen with #NateHagens on the latter's #TheGreatSimplification podcast.
IIASA ConnectIn Memory of Robert Underwood Ayres (1932-2023) It is with profound sadness that we mourn the passing of Robert Underwood Ayres, who passed away on October 23, 2023, in France, at the age of 91. As we bid farewell to this visionary thinker, we would also like take time to honor his legacy on IIASA's research landscape, as well as spread awareness about his work among the colleagues.
Robert Ayres, known as "Bob” to his friends and colleagues, was a distinguished physicist and economist, whose pioneering research, unconventional thinking and passion for his work transformed our understanding of sustainability. Colleagues at IIASA remember him as the true innovator and scientist at heart. One of his most groundbreaking works was his research of industrial ecology or industrial metabolism — a concept he originated and pioneered within the scientific community, with his first publications on this subject dating back to the 1960s.
Trained as a physicist at the University of Chicago, University of Maryland, and King's College London (PhD in Mathematical Physics), Ayres dedicated his professional life to advancing the sustainability agenda, with his primary interests circling the aspects of technological change and environmental economics.
Throughout his career, Bob Ayres held positions at a number of renowned organizations, including the Hudson Institute, the International Research and Technology Corp, INSEAD, and IIASA. Inspired by the institute's work and mission, Bob continued visiting IIASA and the researchers that came after him, who still fondly remember sharing ideas and discussing their research over lunch.
As part of his work at IIASA, Bob Ayres made invaluable contributions that continue to resonate within the institute to this day. His research challenged conventional economic theories, particularly with regard to growth. As Deputy Leader of the Technology-Economy-Society Program at IIASA, Bob Ayres significantly shaped the organization's research landscape and furthered his work in the late 1980s, when he directed a multi-year project on computer-integrated manufacturing (CIM) within the institute. As an Institute Scholar, his presence was felt not only through his scientific work but also through his mentorship and inspiration to the wider IIASA community.
He remained a life-long active researcher, having written and co-authored around 20 books, as well as edited or coedited over a dozen more. He also authored or co-authored over 200 journal articles and book chapters on subjects ranging from the environmental effects of nuclear war to theoretical economics. Bob Ayres' legacy at IIASA is characterized by intellectual rigor, dedication, and a lasting impact on the institute's research endeavors.
While we mourn the passing of Bob Ayres, we celebrate his lasting impact on IIASA as an organization, as well as IIASA's mission to advance sustainability and environmental science. His legacy lives on in the countless individuals he inspired and the transformational ideas he introduced to the world. Our thoughts are with his family, friends, and all those whose lives were touched by his wisdom and dedication to the cause of working towards a sustainable planet.
A bibliography with links to many of Robert's papers and publications can be found here.
Please feel free to share your memories of Robert Ayres in the comments below.
@Chuck_Carcosa Ouais, pas évident.
Ça serait bien que démarrent des sites (et des collectifs) francophones "post doom"
ou que soit traduit (c'est un de mes projets de retraite
) le matos de Nate Hagens https://www.thegreatsimplification.com/
The Great SimplificationThe Great Simplification with Nate HagensThe Great Simplification with Nate Hagens explores money, energy, economy, and the environment with world experts and leaders to understand how everything fits together, and where we go from here.
100 episodes of the #TheGreatSimplification. Congratulations! In this anniversary episode the tables are turned on Nate Hagens, as he is being interviewed by Kate Raworth, who makes him explain all of his central concepts. Totally worth a listen!
https://www.thegreatsimplification.com/episode/100-nate-hagens
The Great SimplificationNate Hagens: "Episode 100 - The Great Simplification” (Interviewed by Kate Raworth) | The Great SimplificationEpisode 100
"The Intransigence of Now" | Do the Math
https://dothemath.ucsd.edu/2023/11/the-intransigence-of-now/
«The nearly impossible task, then, is to convince people that this time is not normal: it cannot persist, nor could its direct derivatives. It’s very similar to telling someone they’re the villan, an adolescent that they don’t know what they’re talking about, an elder that they don’t know what’s good for them, or a mentally impaired person that they are nuts. How does that usually work out? After all this time, we still haven’t figured out how to do these things—not in one shot, certainly.
It’s one thing to convince someone that their notions about the pangolin are entirely wrong. Most people have little knowledge or personal stake in the ways of the pangolin. But people immersed in modernity are going to have strong opinions, feeling that they know a thing or two about it. In addition, it is the only thing they’ve ever known. Saying that modernity is a temporary fireworks show is like saying: all you have ever known is an illusion—not as “real” or permanent as you have come to believe. Yet, modernity is what we see out the window. It’s very real and tangible—not easily argued away.»
#DoTheMath #TomMurphy #Sustainability #TheGreatSimplification #Collapse #Psycology
https://dothemath.ucsd.edu/2023/11/the-intransigence-of-now/
«The nearly impossible task, then, is to convince people that this time is not normal: it cannot persist, nor could its direct derivatives. It’s very similar to telling someone they’re the villan, an adolescent that they don’t know what they’re talking about, an elder that they don’t know what’s good for them, or a mentally impaired person that they are nuts. How does that usually work out? After all this time, we still haven’t figured out how to do these things—not in one shot, certainly.
It’s one thing to convince someone that their notions about the pangolin are entirely wrong. Most people have little knowledge or personal stake in the ways of the pangolin. But people immersed in modernity are going to have strong opinions, feeling that they know a thing or two about it. In addition, it is the only thing they’ve ever known. Saying that modernity is a temporary fireworks show is like saying: all you have ever known is an illusion—not as “real” or permanent as you have come to believe. Yet, modernity is what we see out the window. It’s very real and tangible—not easily argued away.»
#DoTheMath #TomMurphy #Sustainability #TheGreatSimplification #Collapse #Psycology
dothemath.ucsd.edu
The Intransigence of Now | Do the Math
Continued thread
It stands counter to everything #TheGreatSimplification has been advertising so far. We must overcome this kind of nihilist mechanicism if we want to save ourselves.
It's #TheGreatDelusion of our age, and I'm writing a book about it:
https://expandingpossibilities.org/an-emerging-book.html. /FIN
I generally LOVE #TheGreatSimplification by Nate Hagens. Do yourself a favor and listen to it!
https://thegreatsimplification.com/episode/88-robert-sapolsky
But what does this recent episode contribute to humanity surviving the coming #metacrisis?
I'd say that the narrow-minded reductionist points which Robert Sapolsky argues are exactly what needs to be overcome. /1 
The Great SimplificationRobert Sapolsky: "The Brain, Determinism, and Cultural Implications” | The Great SimplificationEpisode 88