O=C=O<p>The rate at which atmospheric CO2 is increasing is now outpacing the pathways set out by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) that limit global warming to 1.5C.</p><p>The third working group report of the <a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/IPCC" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>IPCC</span></a>’s sixth assessment report (<a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/AR6" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>AR6</span></a>), published in 2022, presented a set of seven “illustrative pathways” that highlight how different mitigation choices across major economic sectors translate into future <a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/GreenhouseGas" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>GreenhouseGas</span></a> <a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/emissions" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>emissions</span></a> and global temperatures.</p><p>In the three most-ambitious pathways, <a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/GlobalWarming" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>GlobalWarming</span></a> has a 50% chance of either staying below 1.5C, or overshooting it by only 0.1C (for up to several decades) before then returning to below 1.5C.</p><p>Yet, not only are atmospheric <a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/CO2" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>CO2</span></a> concentrations still rising, the rate of rise is <a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/accelerating" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>accelerating</span></a>. <br>The build-up of CO2 in the <a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/atmosphere" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>atmosphere</span></a> has been monitored at the <a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/MaunaLoa" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>MaunaLoa</span></a> observatory in <a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/Hawaii" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Hawaii</span></a> since 1958. <br>As illustrated by the iconic <a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/KeelingCurve" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>KeelingCurve</span></a> below, the increase has been accelerating over the decades (blue line) due to ongoing emissions of CO2 from burning <a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/FossilFuels" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>FossilFuels</span></a> and changing land use. <br>So while the curve needs to rapidly bend in the other direction to hold warming to 1.5C (light red line), the rate of rising CO2 marches onwards and upwards.</p><p><a href="https://www.carbonbrief.org/met-office-atmospheric-co2-rise-now-exceeding-ipcc-1-5c-pathways/" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://www.</span><span class="ellipsis">carbonbrief.org/met-office-atm</span><span class="invisible">ospheric-co2-rise-now-exceeding-ipcc-1-5c-pathways/</span></a></p><p><a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/ClimateCatastrophe" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>ClimateCatastrophe</span></a></p>