Donald Trump is behind.

He trails in the pivotal postindustrial swing states
and is treading water in the Southern and Sun Belt states
— Arizona, Georgia and Nevada
— that could help him find an alternative path to 270 electoral votes.

In just a few months, Trump may join the exclusive club of two-time presidential losers.

Of course, it is still too early to make any real prediction about November.
But the sharp reversal in Trump’s electoral fortunes raises an obvious question worth thinking about now:

If Trump loses, and perhaps especially if he loses badly,
what comes next for the Republican Party?

As striking as the relative electoral weakness of the Trump-era Republican Party
is its total inability to either govern or police the boundaries of its coalition.

Trump himself has no program beyond his own prejudices and impulses.

“Build the wall” and “mass deportation now”
reflect a deep-seated hostility to nonwhite immigrants that has no basis other than #rank #bigotry.

“Stop the steal” and Trump’s broader obsession with so-called election integrity
is nothing more than an attempt to operationalize his core belief that he #cannot actually #lose an election, or anything for that matter.

Fittingly, the Trump-led Republican Party declined to devise a platform for the 2020 presidential election
and produced a set of Trump-esque #slogans for its 2024 one.

To the extent that there is a Republican agenda, it is a product of the hard-right #ideologues and conservative #organizations that
see Trump as a willing vessel and vehicle for their own interests.

Trump’s leadership has also occasioned the total collapse of the boundaries (such as they were)
separating the far-right #fringe of American politics from its #mainstream.

The former president provides license for
— and inspiration to
— a large crop of right-wing extremists
who disdain democracy and openly fantasize about the use of violence
to eliminate their political opponents.

“Some folks need killing,” Mark Robinson, the Republican Party’s nominee for governor in North Carolina, declared at a church event in June.

Trump’s Republican Party is a paradigmatically “#hollow” party,
according to the argument laid out by the political scientists Daniel #Schlozman and Sam #Rosenfeld
in “The Hollow Parties: The Many Pasts and Disordered Present of American Party Politics.”

For all its activity, a hollow party “demonstrates fundamental #incapacities in organizing democracy.”

Its zombielike commitment to tax cuts and deregulation notwithstanding,
the Republican Party from this vantage point is little more than
“a personal vehicle for Trump’s vendettas and fantasies.”

It offers nothing to the public, they observe, “besides praise for its leader.”

So what happens if and when that leader loses yet another national election for his party?

What happens when,
️in the face of conditions that seem as favorable as they could be, ️
the Republican coalition led by Trump still falls short?
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/13/opinion/trump-republican-party-loss.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare

#Donald_Trump is ALREADY #DISQUALIFIED from #serving as #President again under the 14th #Amendment

WE THE PEOPLE WILL PARDON all FUTURE #Presidential_WAR_Crimes when Presidential #ASSASSINATIONS are #Legalized.. Make Sense NOW?..

#THANK_YOU COLORADO AND WELCOME TO OUR GREAT #UNITED_STATES OF #AMERICA! AGAIN;)

#We Got your #Backs!

Breaking down #Trump's #disqualification from #Colorado_ballot | Trump #disqualified from #Colorado_ballot, state #Supreme_Court rules | Colorado Supreme Court #REMOVES Trump from ballot.,

1. Video: https://youtu.be/N1PySqGo4L0

2. SHORT VIDEO: https://www.youtube.com/shorts/6gNNZxMHMgQ

#Donald_Trump #cannot BE President – #cannot_run FOR president – #cannot BECOME president – #cannot HOLD OFFICE – unless #two_thirds of #Congress decides to #grant_him #amnesty for his #conduct on #January_6th."

That’s from #Will_Baude, Faculty Director of the #Constitutional_Law_Institute at the University of Chicago #Law School, 2023 presenter of the annual Scalia Lecture, and former clerk for #Chief_Justice_Roberts. He was summarizing, for The New York Times, an article he and #Professor #Michael_Stokes_Paulsen will publish next year in the #University of #Pennsylvania law review.

They insist that there is no doubt #Trump has #triggered the #disqualification aspect of #Section_3 of the 14th #Amendment, and that it should be #applied_automatically by #State_Secretaries of #State. “Section 3’s disqualification rule may and must be followed – #applied, #honored, #obeyed, #enforced, #carried_out – by anyone whose job it is to figure out whether someone is legally qualified to office.” The Federalist Society constitutional scholars say it's #automatic. If you put #Trump on the #ballot, you are #BREAKING_THE_LAW.

And as academic and theoretical and dilettantish as this all sounds, these guys think it should be made really real: “There are many ways that this could become a lawsuit presenting a vital constitutional issue that potentially the #Supreme_Court would want to hear and decide,” said Professor Paulsen.

And Paulsen is a distinguished university chair and professor of Constitutional Law and Federal Courts at the University of St. Thomas in Minnesota.

And #Steven_Calabresi, co-chairman of the #Federalist_Society, co-founder and co-chairman of the Federalist Society, says the Baude-Paulsen article is #a_tour_de_force that proves ..

“Trump is #INELIGIBLE TO BE ON the #ballot, and each of the 50 state secretaries of state has an #obligation to #print_ballots without his #name on them,” unquote – or they may be #SUED.

There could be enough to knock Trump off the ballot in individual states. And with Citizens for Responsibility and Ethics in Washington #CREW having #successfully #sued to remove a January 6th #insurrectionist from office in #New_Mexico, there is a #guidebook on how to literally #STOP Trump before he STARTS.

1. Video Here:
https://youtu.be/Dc4DKM2OvD4

#FULL_LENGTH #PODCAST HERE: #FEDERALIST_SOCIETY_LAWYERS SAY #TRUMP IS #INELIGIBLE TO #RUN - 8.11.23 | Countdown with Keith Olbermann

https://youtu.be/dWAA-DOJc_o

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